A look at the performance of the stock markets in January may give clues on how the markets could continue to develop over the next couple of months. The month of January is supposed to have some predictive power for the rest of the year. It shows how major market participants position themselves at the beginning of a year and in which markets the money flows in or out. Studies for the US market show that if January ends with a positive return, the probability that the year will end with a profit is around 90 percent. Although this statistic is valid for the US market, we can see similar effects for other stock markets.
Please login or purchase a membership to view full text.
